Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 4.376352 4.859859 5.376959 5.971572 6.637007 7.359391 8.203874
2026-02-01 3.532171 4.185388 4.933512 5.855639 6.964365 8.257857 9.886209
2026-02-08 2.949431 3.686234 4.579124 5.745149 7.234099 9.080262 11.556062
2026-02-15 2.551468 3.335943 4.333292 5.701700 7.542025 9.947596 13.356940
2026-02-22 2.311296 3.143824 4.247854 5.830363 8.059152 11.113670 15.664229
2026-03-01 2.067716 2.911105 4.071510 5.800001 8.335680 11.959942 17.605582
2026-03-08 1.825989 2.649926 3.821012 5.625876 8.371499 12.446257 19.053728
2026-03-15 1.658039 2.474450 3.670230 5.572409 8.565748 13.167474 20.917105
2026-03-22 1.561652 2.393526 3.647395 5.703403 9.045994 14.362636 23.651310
2026-03-29 1.477739 2.321987 3.629122 5.834454 9.531761 15.605404 26.594311
2026-04-05 1.380192 2.218847 3.549784 5.855175 9.831966 16.563750 29.148147
2026-04-12 1.277448 2.097509 3.429030 5.792540 9.979333 17.268378 31.319474
2026-04-19 1.176520 1.972662 3.295025 5.700178 10.075370 17.909910 33.486979
2026-04-26 1.084749 1.855709 3.164495 5.601566 10.150179 18.520959 35.673704
2026-05-03 1.002218 1.747743 3.040047 5.501318 10.210097 19.107397 37.879932
2026-05-10 0.937367 1.665540 2.953769 5.462110 10.378994 19.914460 40.624233
2026-05-17 0.902003 1.633487 2.954721 5.586039 10.873959 21.406863 44.976102
2026-05-24 0.848875 1.564131 2.880733 5.557496 11.060916 22.296012 48.139190
2026-05-31 0.782987 1.465522 2.743632 5.391334 10.949404 22.553983 49.930548
2026-06-07 0.737030 1.401484 2.667474 5.340334 11.070896 23.312427 52.946942
2026-06-14 0.714951 1.382220 2.676908 5.465541 11.579007 24.958536 58.248606
2026-06-21 0.694150 1.363783 2.686246 5.590772 12.098546 26.683242 63.964986
2026-06-28 0.663745 1.323588 2.648217 5.610578 12.383760 27.903094 68.588972